Recent Articles from PredictStreet

WASHINGTON, D.C. — January 20, 2026 — Exactly one year after Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States, a new kind of ticker tape is dominating the financial landscape. It isn't tracking the S&P 500 or the price of gold, but rather the specific syllables spoken by the Commander-in-Chief. [...]

As New York City enters the first weeks of the Zohran Mamdani administration, political analysts and financial traders alike are looking back at the 2025 mayoral race not just for its ideological shift, but as a watershed moment for the prediction market industry. For the first time in a major U.S. municipal election, real-time betting [...]

As of January 20, 2026, a fundamental shift has occurred in the plumbing of global finance. For decades, the "tape"—the real-time feed of stock and bond prices—was the undisputed source of truth for traders. Today, that tape has a rival. Professional desks at major banks and hedge funds are increasingly turning to prediction markets like [...]

As of January 20, 2026, the prediction market world is grappling with a new reality: the prospect of a federal ban on government employees and politicians trading the very outcomes they influence. Prompted by a suspicious $400,000 windfall on the offshore platform Polymarket, Congressman Ritchie Torres (D-NY) has formally introduced the Public Integrity in Financial [...]

As the Federal Reserve prepares for its first policy meeting of 2026 on January 27–28, a significant shift has occurred in how the financial world anticipates interest rate decisions. The traditional dominance of professional economic surveys and even standard bond-market derivatives is being challenged by prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. For the upcoming January [...]

As the NFL post-season reaches its fever pitch, the prediction market landscape is signaling a seismic shift in the professional football hierarchy. With Super Bowl LX just weeks away, the Seattle Seahawks have defied preseason expectations to become the definitive favorites to lift the Lombardi Trophy. According to the latest data from the regulated prediction [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, a high-stakes battle is unfolding over the future of decentralized and regulated forecasting in the Empire State. New York lawmakers are currently scrambling to pass legislation that could either legitimize prediction markets as the next frontier of finance or crush them under the weight of "reckless [...]

The sudden and dramatic capture of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. special operations forces in early January 2026 sent shockwaves through the global political landscape. However, for those watching the prediction markets, the real explosion happened hours before the first Delta Force helicopter crossed the Venezuelan border. A single, anonymous trader placed a high-stakes bet that [...]

As the second year of the second Trump administration begins on this January 20, 2026, the political world is already looking toward the horizon of 2028. While traditional pundits often wait for the midterm results to declare favorites, prediction market traders have already reached a consensus. Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position as [...]

In a move that has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning "information economy," Polymarket has officially staged its return to the United States. Following a multi-year exile by federal regulators, the world’s largest prediction market platform successfully bypassed the typical years-long licensing process by executing a strategic $112 million acquisition of QCX, a Commodity Futures Trading [...]

As of January 19, 2026, the landscape of American finance looks fundamentally different than it did just two years ago. The once-fringe world of prediction markets has exploded into a mainstream powerhouse, driven by a radical shift in federal oversight. What began as a high-stakes legal battle between Kalshi and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission [...]

The 2024 U.S. Presidential election served as a high-stakes laboratory for the burgeoning world of prediction markets, pitting established academic platforms against crypto-native giants and regulated newcomers. As of January 19, 2026, the dust has finally settled on the post-election post-mortems, revealing a surprising "Accuracy War" where the most liquid markets weren’t necessarily the most [...]

As of mid-January 2026, the global financial landscape is witnessing a profound shift in how risk is priced and managed. Long dismissed as the domain of political junkies and speculators, prediction markets have officially entered the "Institutional Era." This morning, January 19, 2026, trading desks at major investment banks are no longer just looking at [...]

As of January 19, 2026, the global financial landscape is increasingly dominated by a controversial new asset class: geopolitical instability. Following the chaotic start to the year—marked by the capture of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela on January 3 and a subsequent hypersonic missile test by Pyongyang on January 4—prediction markets have seen an unprecedented surge [...]

As the first month of 2026 reaches its crescendo, a high-stakes financial battle is playing out not just on the trading floors of Wall Street, but in the digital arenas of prediction markets. On Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction platform, a market titled "Largest Company by Market Cap at end of January?" has surpassed [...]

As of January 2026, the image of the "professional trader" has undergone a radical transformation. Gone are the days when high-stakes finance was solely the province of Wall Street floor traders or quantitative hedge fund analysts staring at Bloomberg terminals. Today, the new face of alpha is Logan Sudeith, a 25-year-old former risk analyst from [...]

As of mid-January 2026, the meteoric rise of prediction markets has hit a formidable regulatory wall. Kalshi, the federally regulated exchange that pioneered event contracts in the U.S., is currently locked in a high-stakes legal standoff with several powerful state regulators. The conflict has reached a boiling point in Massachusetts, where a state court is [...]

On January 7, 2026, a tectonic shift occurred in the landscape of global media. Dow Jones & Co. (NASDAQ: NWSA), the parent company of The Wall Street Journal, announced an exclusive multi-year partnership with Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction market. This deal formally integrates real-time, blockchain-based prediction data across the Dow Jones consumer ecosystem, [...]

In the hyper-volatile world of decentralized prediction markets, "alpha"—the industry term for an information edge—is everything. But on the evening of January 2, 2026, a single trader on Polymarket appeared to possess an edge so sharp it cut through the fog of international diplomacy. Just hours before U.S. Special Forces descended on Caracas in a [...]

Prediction markets have officially crossed the rubicon into the financial mainstream. In a staggering display of market maturity, the sector recorded an all-time high weekly volume of $3.7 billion during the second week of January 2026. This surge was punctuated by a single-day trading peak of $701.7 million, signaling that "event-based trading" is no longer [...]

As the calendar turns to January 18, 2026, millions of Americans are opening their mailboxes and email inboxes to find a new kind of tax document. Following the explosive growth of prediction markets throughout 2025—a year defined by massive volume in election contracts, Fed rate cut forecasts, and climate milestones—the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) is [...]

The meteoric rise of event-based contracts has reached a legislative boiling point. Following a series of high-profile trades that appeared to anticipate classified government actions, Washington has responded with the "Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026." Introduced on January 9, 2026, by Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY), the bill seeks to bring the [...]

As of January 18, 2026, the world of prediction markets is no longer a niche hobby for economists and crypto-enthusiasts—it is a multi-billion dollar information industry. While real-money giants like Polymarket and Kalshi capture the headlines with massive handles on geopolitical events, a quieter, play-money revolution is happening at Manifold Markets. Despite using a proprietary, [...]

As of mid-January 2026, a fundamental shift has occurred in how Wall Street and Main Street digest economic reality. For decades, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s "Nowcast" and other lagging indicators were the gold standard for tracking the economy in real-time. But as the dust settles on the Federal Reserve's December 2025 meeting, [...]

As we look back from the vantage point of January 2026, the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is increasingly viewed not just as a political realignment, but as a total disruption of the forecasting industry. For decades, traditional polling was the undisputed king of election intelligence. However, the 2024 cycle saw the emergence of the "Nate [...]

The long-standing wall between artificial intelligence and elite human intuition is beginning to crumble. For years, the "superforecaster"—a subset of humans with extraordinary cognitive flexibility and statistical rigor—was considered the gold standard for predicting global events. However, data from the October 2025 ForecastBench report suggests that the "human edge" is evaporating at an accelerating rate. [...]

As of January 18, 2026, the landscape of American finance is undergoing a seismic shift that few saw coming four years ago. Polymarket, once the "offshore pariah" of the prediction market world, has successfully executed a multi-step regulatory maneuver to return to the United States. Following a period of exile that began with a CFTC [...]

In the span of just ten months, prediction markets have transitioned from a niche obsession of political junkies and crypto-enthusiasts to a cornerstone of the modern retail brokerage experience. As of January 18, 2026, the industry is reeling from a staggering milestone: Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) has processed over 11 billion contracts through its [...]

The era of "underground" political wagering officially ended not with a whimper, but with a gavel. As we move into the first quarter of 2026, the ripple effects of Kalshi’s landmark legal victory over the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have transformed the U.S. financial landscape. What began as a niche legal challenge in late [...]

The financial landscape shifted permanently in October 2025 when the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), the powerhouse parent of the New York Stock Exchange, announced a staggering $2 billion strategic investment into Polymarket. This move didn't just inject capital; it effectively minted prediction markets as the new "truth engine" of global finance. At the time of [...]

On January 7, 2026, the global media landscape underwent a seismic shift that few traditional pundits saw coming. News Corp (Nasdaq: NWSA), the parent company of Dow Jones, announced an exclusive multi-year partnership with Polymarket, the world’s leading decentralized prediction platform. This alliance does more than just share data; it signals the definitive arrival of [...]

As the battle for the future of information markets moves from the betting floor to the federal courtroom, a new consensus is emerging among the world’s most active forecasters. On the social prediction platform Manifold Markets, a high-stakes contract titled "Will Federal Preemption Protect DCMs from State Bans by End of 2026?" has seen a [...]

The era of prediction markets has officially shifted from a niche experimental phase into a primary pillar of global finance. As of January 17, 2026, the industry is no longer just a "truth machine" for political cycles; it has become a high-velocity financial engine. Recent data shows the total prediction market industry hit an all-time [...]

As of January 17, 2026, the global financial landscape has fundamentally shifted. What were once dismissed as "gambling dens" for political junkies have evolved into the world’s most accurate "truth engines." The catalyst for this transformation can be traced back to a single, high-conviction figure from the 2024 U.S. election: the pseudonymous French trader known [...]

Starting January 21, 2026, the landscape of digital information and financial speculation will undergo a seismic transformation. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) has officially announced a major policy shift, reclassifying regulated prediction markets from "gambling" to "financial products." This change allows federally supervised platforms to advertise their services nationwide across Google’s massive search and display network, [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, New York has become the epicenter of a national struggle over the legality of "information finance." At the heart of the storm are two competing visions for the state’s regulatory future: a "scorched-earth" prohibition known as the ORACLE Act (Assembly Bill A9251) and a rival regulatory [...]

January 12, 2026, will be remembered as the day the "invisible hand" of the market finally grew a voice. In a historic 24-hour window, global prediction markets processed a staggering $701.7 million in daily trading volume, a milestone that effectively signals the end of the industry's experimental phase. This surge wasn't just a win for [...]

The landscape of American finance and media underwent a seismic shift this week as Kalshi, the first regulated event contract exchange in the U.S., officially reached "Decacorn" status with a staggering $11 billion valuation. The milestone follows a massive $1.1 billion Series E funding round, signaling that what was once a niche corner of the [...]

The prediction market world is reeling following a series of highly suspicious trades that occurred just hours before the dramatic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. While the world woke up on January 3, 2026, to the news of a high-stakes U.S. military operation in Caracas, one anonymous trader was already counting their winnings. The [...]

A landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning prediction market industry, delivering a rigorous autopsy of the 2024 election cycle that fundamentally challenges the "liquidity equals truth" dogma of modern finance. As of January 17, 2026, the findings are reshaping how institutional investors, political strategists, and retail traders view the reliability [...]

As we cross the midpoint of January 2026, the landscape of American finance and political discourse has been fundamentally rewritten. What was once a niche corner of the internet for statistics nerds and high-stakes contrarians has become the primary lens through which the public views reality. Today, "market-implied probability" is no longer just a metric; [...]

As Bitcoin (BTC) hovers near the $95,600 mark this January 16, 2026, a curious divergence is emerging between the exuberant headlines of traditional finance and the cold, calculated skepticism of prediction markets. While retail investors celebrate a recovery from the volatile "Year of the Snake" in 2025, a growing segment of traders on platforms like [...]

The global internet, a seemingly ethereal cloud of data, is anchored to the reality of thousands of miles of fiber-optic cables resting on the ocean floor. According to prediction market participants, that physical foundation is looking increasingly precarious. As of mid-January 2026, traders on platforms like Manifold Markets are pricing in a staggering 43% to [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the geopolitical landscape is being rewritten not just in the halls of diplomacy, but across the digital ledgers of global prediction markets. In a startling shift of sentiment, traders on platforms like Polymarket, Manifold Markets, and Kalshi are pricing in a historic "Winter of Discontent" for two of the world’s [...]

The landscape of retail finance has undergone a seismic shift, culminating in today's milestone as prediction markets move from the fringes of political junkies to the center of the mobile brokerage experience. As of January 16, 2026, the partnership between Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) and Kalshi has transformed "event contracts" into a multi-billion dollar asset class. [...]

As the winter legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of prediction markets in the United States is facing its most significant legal challenge to date. Following the explosive growth of event-based wagering during the 2024 election cycle, New York lawmakers are now moving to implement some of the most stringent regulations in the [...]

As the NFL playoffs enter their most high-stakes phase, a clear consensus is emerging not just from the sidelines, but from the high-frequency trading floors of prediction markets. The Seattle Seahawks have officially solidified their position as the favorites to win Super Bowl LX, currently trading at a 25% probability on Kalshi. With the championship [...]

As the calendar turns to January 16, 2026, the political landscape is already vibrating with the energy of the next race for the White House. While the 2024 inauguration feels like a recent memory, prediction markets are signaling that the 2028 cycle has effectively begun. Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position as the [...]

As the calendar turns toward late January 2026, a familiar sense of dread has returned to the halls of Congress and the screens of global investors. After the record-breaking 43-day shutdown that paralyzed the federal government in late 2025, a new "funding cliff" is fast approaching on January 31. This time, however, the uncertainty is [...]

On January 3, 2026, as U.S. Special Operations forces executed "Operation Absolute Resolve"—a daring nighttime raid on Nicolás Maduro’s compound in Caracas—the geopolitical landscape shifted in an instant. But while the world watched the dramatic extraction of the Venezuelan leader, a storm was already brewing in the digital trenches of prediction markets. Just hours before [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the United States prediction market ecosystem has shifted from a speculative niche into a cornerstone of the modern financial landscape. Once defined by the volatility of election cycles, the sector is now witnessing an institutional-grade transformation. According to a landmark analysis by Citizens Financial Group (NYSE: CFG) and a detailed [...]

As of mid-January 2026, the landscape of broadcast journalism has fundamentally shifted. For decades, viewers tuned into news networks for opinions, expert "hot takes," and statistical polling that often lagged behind reality. That era ended this month. With the full-scale launch of landmark media partnerships between the regulated exchange Kalshi and news giants CNN (NASDAQ: [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the financial landscape has been permanently altered by a transition that many traditionalists once thought impossible: the full-scale integration of prediction markets into the daily habits of retail investors. What began as a high-stakes legal gamble in late 2024 has matured into a multi-billion dollar industry, with Robinhood Markets, Inc. [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the landscape of global prediction markets has undergone a seismic shift. For years, the industry was a two-horse race between the offshore, crypto-native Polymarket and the U.S.-regulated, institutional-grade Kalshi. Today, the results are in: the "financialization of sports" has crowned a new king. Driven by the explosive success of its [...]

On January 12, 2026, the prediction market industry reached a historic milestone, processing a staggering $701.7 million in a single 24-hour trading session. This unprecedented volume represents a watershed moment for the sector, effectively transitioning event-based contracts from a niche curiosity into a primary "truth engine" for institutional and retail investors alike. The surge was [...]

The "Little Market That Could" has finally grown up. As of January 16, 2026, the prediction market landscape looks radically different than it did just eighteen months ago. The most significant shift has not come from the arrival of new crypto-based giants, but from the rebirth of an industry pioneer: PredictIt. Following a grueling three-year [...]

The world of decentralized finance is no stranger to "whales" and high-stakes gambles, but a single series of trades executed in the final hours of January 2, 2026, has sent shockwaves through Washington and the global prediction market industry. Just hours before U.S. Special Operations forces launched "Operation Absolute Resolve" to capture Venezuelan leader Nicolás [...]

In the corridors of power in Albany, a legislative storm is brewing that could redefine the boundaries between Wall Street and Las Vegas. Just four days ago, on January 12, 2026, the prediction market industry hit a staggering milestone: $701.7 million in total daily trading volume. This explosion in liquidity, fueled by the 2026 midterm [...]

In a move that signals the definitive arrival of event contracts as a mainstream asset class, Kalshi, the first regulated prediction market in the United States, has announced a staggering $1.1 billion Series E funding round. The investment values the New York-based exchange at $11 billion, catapulting it to "decacorn" status and marking one of [...]

In the wake of the most heavily traded political event in history, a landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning prediction market industry. The report, titled "Prediction Markets? The Accuracy and Efficiency of $2.4 Billion in the 2024 Presidential Election," reveals a startling inverse relationship between raw capital and predictive precision. [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the global financial landscape has undergone a silent revolution. The speculative fever that once characterized prediction markets during election cycles has matured into a sophisticated infrastructure for risk management. Today, traders are no longer just betting on outcomes; they are using platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket to hedge against the [...]

In the fast-evolving landscape of 2026 prediction markets, the conversation is often dominated by the massive volumes of crypto-native platforms or the retail explosion of regulated exchanges. Yet, as the primary season for the 2026 Midterm elections heats up, one name remains the essential dashboard for political professionals and junkies alike: PredictIt. Despite a decade [...]

On any given night in early 2026, a viewer tuning into prime-time news is less likely to see a panel of political consultants arguing over "vibes" and more likely to see a glowing, fluctuating percentage at the bottom of the screen. As of January 16, 2026, the traditional news ticker has been permanently altered. The [...]

As the NFL enters the Divisional Round of the playoffs, a quiet revolution is taking place in how fans engage with the gridiron. While traditional sportsbooks are flooded with standard wagers, a new breed of market participant is flocking to Kalshi, the federally regulated event contract exchange. Since its aggressive expansion into sports in early [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, a high-stakes battle is brewing that could decide the future of information finance in the United States. New York lawmakers are currently weighing Assembly Bill A9251, more ominously known as the "ORACLE Act." The proposed legislation seeks to categorize event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and [...]

In early 2026, the global financial landscape is undergoing a silent but profound restructuring. What were once dismissed as niche "betting" sites for political junkies have transformed into the "truth engine" of the modern economy. Prediction markets are no longer just speculative sideshows; they have emerged as core financial infrastructure, providing a real-time, incentivized layer [...]

As the prediction market industry enters a pivotal 2026, a high-stakes legal battle is unfolding that will determine whether these platforms are treated as sophisticated financial exchanges or local gambling dens. At the heart of the conflict is a strategy known as "Federal Preemption," where platforms argue that federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the financial landscape has undergone a seismic shift that few traditional analysts predicted just two years ago. The world of prediction markets, once a niche playground for crypto enthusiasts and political junkies, has officially entered the mainstream. Driven by the aggressive entry of retail powerhouses Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the global intelligence community is no longer looking solely at satellite imagery or diplomatic cables to gauge the risk of war in the Middle East. Instead, they are watching the order books. The concept of "Operation Iron Strike"—a rumored Israeli military operation against Iranian strategic sites—has moved from classified briefings [...]

In the high-stakes world of "information finance," the common wisdom has long been that more money equals more truth. The theory of the "wisdom of the crowd" suggests that as trading volume increases, market prices become more accurate reflections of reality. However, a bombshell new study from Vanderbilt University is turning that assumption on its [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of the prediction market industry hangs in a delicate balance. New York lawmakers are currently locked in a philosophical and legal tug-of-war over whether these platforms—which allow users to trade on the outcome of everything from elections to interest rate hikes—are sophisticated financial tools [...]

As the dust settles on the hyper-active forecasting cycles of the last two years, a landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the prediction market industry. For years, the prevailing wisdom was that "liquidity is king"—that the more money and participants a market has, the more accurate its "crowdsourced wisdom" becomes. However, according [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the landscape of retail finance has been irrevocably altered. What began as a high-stakes legal battle between Kalshi and federal regulators in late 2024 has blossomed into a multi-billion dollar industry, with Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) standing at the center of the storm. The integration of prediction markets—once a [...]

In a seismic shift for the prediction market landscape, Kalshi has officially overtaken Polymarket as the dominant force in the industry. As of early January 2026, Kalshi handled approximately 66.4% of total global trades, a staggering reversal from the crypto-native era of 2024. The surge has been fueled by a combination of federal regulatory approval, [...]

As we move into the first quarter of 2026, the prediction market landscape looks radically different than it did just two years ago. What was once a niche corner of the internet for data nerds and political junkies has become a global financial powerhouse, integrated into mainstream newsrooms and financial terminals. This shift can be [...]